Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.895834 4.163639 4.453357 4.792434 5.181519 5.617946 6.150231
2025-02-23 3.443925 3.788221 4.181680 4.671986 5.277770 6.018018 7.019200
2025-03-02 3.050927 3.424037 3.867432 4.446502 5.204971 6.201206 7.682542
2025-03-09 2.792916 3.189900 3.678346 4.344475 5.267659 6.573556 8.731669
2025-03-16 2.543203 2.941449 3.444002 4.152039 5.177648 6.720127 9.522434
2025-03-23 2.401581 2.816310 3.354621 4.141874 5.343926 7.296857 11.339583
2025-03-30 2.264376 2.684912 3.243359 4.085840 5.432289 7.780516 13.333769
2025-04-06 2.131410 2.548816 3.113023 3.985489 5.433137 8.117605 15.331444
2025-04-13 1.998782 2.404246 2.959099 3.832208 5.320824 8.212279 16.851104
2025-04-20 1.937842 2.353624 2.934404 3.875849 5.559201 9.120744 22.412634
2025-04-27 1.886724 2.312809 2.919885 3.933234 5.835782 10.257995 32.568429
2025-05-04 1.851294 2.291444 2.931848 4.035386 6.224757 11.935577 59.986007
2025-05-11 1.790944 2.236300 2.896861 4.069704 6.526006 13.780688 181.372521
2025-05-18 1.725463 2.170017 2.839909 4.059644 6.738119 15.654677 NaN
2025-05-25 1.643773 2.075325 2.731268 3.942400 6.674930 16.467678 NaN
2025-06-01 1.584459 2.011255 2.667843 3.904361 6.805968 18.476495 NaN
2025-06-08 1.513390 1.925889 2.564089 3.777311 6.679148 19.074062 NaN
2025-06-15 1.473951 1.886898 2.534444 3.793542 6.950431 22.807154 NaN
2025-06-22 1.429743 1.838265 2.485226 3.764533 7.090636 26.326010 NaN
2025-06-29 1.381610 1.781318 2.418351 3.691881 7.083899 28.840586 NaN
2025-07-06 1.328482 1.714473 2.331007 3.568288 6.892131 29.058201 NaN
2025-07-13 1.305959 1.694766 2.323759 3.614527 7.263789 38.883902 NaN
2025-07-20 1.286321 1.678598 2.321436 3.671303 7.702884 57.903257 NaN